Abstract
Sea-level rise (SLR) projections have a wide range, in some locations projecting anywhere from 2 to 11 feet of SLR. This range exists due to natural variability, uncertainty in carbon emissions, and continually improving ice sheet melt science. This range can make it difficult for planners and project managers who are balancing a complex set of needs, goals, and capacities to chart a sensible pathway to resilience. Fortunately, not all SLR scenarios are equally as likely, providing power to planners. In this presentation I will quickly go over how to use risk tolerance, the exceedance probability associated with SLR scenarios, and project design life to narrow down the range of scenarios to a specific planning range.
